Wednesday, April 9, 2025

The Morning Call (early)--The Trump Put

 

The Morning Call

 

4/10/25

 

I am having surgery bright and early tomorrow morning. Hence the early delivery. Friday’s Morning Call will depend on how it goes and recovery time.

 

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

The Trump Put. It doesn’t take a genius to tell you that this represents a major change in strategy. Despite what Trump has said, he either couldn’t take the heat, has decided to alter his trade strategy or this was his strategy all along. I got $100 that says the story line will be the latter irrespective of what has really occurred. In any case, while this provides interim relief for the Markets, we still don’t know how the tariff strategy all plays out (i.e., how punitive the tariffs will be and to whom). Although it is probably safe to say that the downside risk has been truncated. I nibbled yesterday on the news in Zoetis (ZTS), Applied Materials (AMAT) and Ball (BALL).

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-holds-back-retaliation-opts-strategic-messaging-through-white-paper-trade

 

            Wednesday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-surge-most-5-years-trump-policy-pivot-everything-else-soars

 

            How the big boys fared.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/largest-our-history-nomuras-mcelligott-calculates-historic-end-day-levered-etf-buy

 

            The mother of all short squeezes.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/upside-panic-shorts-torched-mother-all-squeezes

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

                        International

 

                        Other

 

Monetary Policy

 

The FOMC released the minutes from its last meeting. Of course how you interpret them today will be entirely different from how you would have interpreted them on Tuesday.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fomc-minutes-confirm-fed-members-fear-trade-policy-uncertainty-support-qt-taper

 

            Fiscal Policy

 

              It is Main Street’s turn.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/its-main-streets-turn-restore-american-dream-us-treasury-secretary-warns-wall

 

              Trump’s economic revolution.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trumps-economic-revolution-unraveling-blessing-and-curse

 

              What will happen to the dollar?

              https://investor.fm/the-reputational-bankruptcy-of-the-american-dollar/

 

            Recession

 

              Sprinkling cold water on the idea of recession.

              https://wolfstreet.com/2025/04/08/but-this-kind-of-dynamic-sprinkles-additional-cold-water-on-the-idea-of-a-looming-recession/

 

            Tariffs

             

              erased

 

     Investing

 

            How effective in rebalancing?

            https://roberthuebscher.substack.com/p/take-this-test-how-well-do-you-understand

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

 

 

What I am reading today

 

           

 

 

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