Thursday, February 9, 2023

The Morning Call---Reveiw of earnings season to date

 

 

2/9/23

 

The Market

         

    Technical

               

            Wednesday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-slammed-rate-hike-odds-rise

 

            What investors are now discounting.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/no-recession-and-minor-bear-market

 

            Key technical levels for the dollar.

            https://allstarcharts.com/big-levels-ahead-for-king-dollar/

 

            Strong dollar continues to rattle US multinational corporate earnings.

            https://www.wsj.com/articles/strong-dollar-still-rattles-u-s-multinational-corporate-earnings-11675839395?mod=business_lead_pos10

 

            Junk bond spreads versus US Treasuries continue to narrow.

            https://www.ft.com/content/15224baf-3b3f-424a-9517-1dca98020f68

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

                      

                           Weekly initial jobless claims totaled 196,000 versus estimates of 190,000.

 

                        International

                           

January Japanese YoY machine tool orders fell 9.7% versus predictions of +0.5%.

 

January German preliminary CPI was +1.0% versus consensus of +0.8%.

 

                        Other

           

                          In search of de-globalization.

                          https://www.cato.org/blog/checking-death-globalizationtm

 

                          Median new home prices versus median household income.

                          https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2023/02/the-bigger-picture-for-housing.html#.Y-PqlXbMKUk

 

                        No consensus in current Q1 nowcasts.

                        https://www.capitalspectator.com/early-us-gdp-nowcasts-for-q1-are-wide-ranging/

 

            Recession

 

              Half of Americans say that they are worse off than in 2009.

              https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-02-08/half-of-americans-say-they-re-worse-off-most-since-2009-gallup?sref=loFkkPMQ

 

              Shipping behemoth sees global trade contracting in 2023

 

            The Chinese Balloon

 

              Another layered scandal.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/political/china-balloon-layered-scandal

 

     Bottom line

 

      Review of earnings season to date.

      https://www.morningstar.com/articles/1135324/wheres-all-that-bad-earnings-news-that-stock-investors-were-braced-for

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

What I am reading today

 

           

                        Quote of the day.

            https://cafehayek.com/2023/02/quotation-of-the-day-4171.html

 

            Nordstream sabotage was CIA.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/nord-stream-sabotage-was-cia-us-navy-covert-op-seymour-hersh-bombshell-prompts-white

 

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