Tuesday, August 22, 2023

The Morning Call---Why Xi Jinping is letting the Chinese economy flail

The Morning Call

 

8/22/23

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

Monday in the charts.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/soaring-tech-stocks-shrug-sky-rocketing-treasury-yields-now

 

Three more charts.

https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/3-random-charts-we-are-watching

 

July margin debt up 4.2%.

https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2023/08/21/margin-debt-up-july-2023

 

Surge in zero-day options sparking fear of increased volatility

https://www.ft.com/content/7799af5a-f62d-4905-8f88-8aa53e205e47

 

            Treasury yields surge to 16 year high.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/treasury-yields-soar-16-year-high-30y-mortgage-rate-nears-21st-century-high

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines                                                                                  

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

Month to date retail chain store sales rose dramatically from the prior week.

 

                        International

 

                        Other

                         

                          Update on weekly leading economic indicator.

                          https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2023/08/18/recessionalert-weekly-leading-economic-index

 

            China

 

              China’s Japanification.

              https://www.ft.com/content/52c805d5-c759-46cc-a0fe-2de2f2d71850

               

              China’s central bank makes smaller than expected reduction in key interest rate.

              https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/21/business/china-central-bank-rate-cut.html

 

              Why Xi Jinping is letting the Chinese economy flail.

              https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2023-08-20/xi-jinping-is-running-china-s-economy-cold-on-purpose?srnd=premium&sref=loFkkPMQ

 

                             Can he deal with the consequences?

               https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/20/business/china-property-crisis-country-garden.html

 

            Recession

 

              Vehicle miles driven increased in June.

              https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2023/08/dot-vehicle-miles-driven-increased-28.html

 

     Bottom line.

 

            The folly of forecasts.

            https://ritholtz.com/2023/08/folly-of-forecasts-big-short-edition/

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

 

 

What I am reading today

 

            Stop asking random people stupid questions.

            https://thereformedbroker.com/2023/08/18/stop-asking-random-people-stupid-questions/

 

The biggest question mark in astronomy.

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/18/science/space/question-mark-space-webb-telescope.html

 

             

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