Wednesday, October 8, 2025

The Morning Call---Treasury rates tell us that ther isn't a debt problem

 

The Morning Call

 

10/8/25

 

Please help support Investing for Survival. I don’t ask for subscription fees. But your kind donations keep me in operation. If you can only afford to give a little, then give a little. If you can afford to give more………. All donations will be appreciated. Just click on the Donate button.

 

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Tuesday in the charts.

                        https://www.zerohedge.com/market-recaps/gold-futs-top-4000-first-time-goldman-says-its-all-just-short-fiat-trade-big-tech-btc

 

                        Tuesday in the technical stats.

            https://www.barchart.com/stocks/momentum

            https://www.barchart.com/stocks/sectors/rankings

            https://www.barchart.com/stocks/signals/new-recommendations

 

            Can’t keep gold down. (I am selling one have of my GDX position).

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/cant-keep-gold-down-rsi-screaming-200-day-left-dust

 

            The latest from Goldman’s trading desk.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/no-signal-yet-go-risk-goldman-macro-guru-sees-ever-expanding-universe-asset-buyers-premium

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

Weekly mortgage applications fell 4.7% while purchase applications were down 1.0%.  

                       

                          Month to date retail chain store sales grew slower than in the prior week.

 

The September consumer inflation estimates were for 3.4% versus estimates of 3.1%.

 

The October economic optimism index was 48.3 versus expectations of 48.5.

 

                        International

 

August Japanese YoY average earnings were up 1.2% versus consensus of up 2.4%.

 

August German industrial production declined 4.3% versus predictions of -0.8%.

 

                        Other

 

                          No data, no problem.

                          https://alhambrapartners.com/weekly-market-pulse-no-data-no-problem/

 

                          Blue chip economists got it all wrong (again).

                          https://committeetounleashprosperity.com/hotlines/blue-chip-economists-got-the-trump-economy-all-wrong-again/

 

                          Conflicting signals on expansion versus recession.

                          https://bonddad.blogspot.com/2025/10/auto-and-truck-purchases-give.html

 

                          How screwed up are BLS real and nominal median earnings?

                          https://mishtalk.com/economics/how-screwed-up-are-bls-real-and-nominal-median-earnings/

           

                          America’s economy needs expanded deposit insurance.

                          https://www.ft.com/content/526ff07f-eb69-403c-9715-8dd27a910ec1

 

                          More evidence of de-dollarization.

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/rabobank-gold-confirms-world-has-passed-fiscal-event-horizon

 

            Overnight News

 

Prolonged funding pressures in US money markets, just as bank reserves held at the Federal Reserve are dwindling, suggest the central bank may be getting closer to ending the unwinding of its massive portfolio of securities.

 

            Fiscal Policy

 

              Treasury rates tell us that there isn’t a debt problem.

              https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2025/10/07/the_markets_keep_telling_us_the_national_debt_is_the_easy_part_1138919.html

 

              Both parties (i.e., the ruling class) are guilty of executive fiat.

              https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2025/10/the_shell_game_behind_the_shutdown.html

 

            Inflation

 

              Is another spike in inflation developing?

              https://www.apolloacademy.com/beginning-to-look-like-2021/

 

     Investing

 

            What is the best age to claim social security?

            https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2025/10/05/what-age-claim-social-security/86319827007/

 

            How to make money from tax loss selling.

            https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-to-make-money-from-tax-loss-selling-between-now-and-the-end-of-the-year-559edfab?st=yA7Re1

 

            Q4 stock market outlook.

            https://www.morningstar.com/markets/q4-2025-stock-market-outlook-no-margin-error

 

            Getting ahead of Market calamities.

            https://talkmarkets.com/content/stocks--equities/how-to-get-ahead-of-market-calamities?post=526896

 

            The latest from Citadel.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/dont-let-labor-market-det-you-down-citadels-macro-guru-sees-equity-market-embrace-right

 

            Reserve managers are falling out of love with the dollar.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/reserve-managers-are-falling-out-love-dollar

           

            Bitcoin reserve funding can start anytime.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/us-bitcoin-reserve-funding-can-start-anytime-senator-lummis

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

What I am reading today

 

           

                        In praise of the separation of powers.

https://www.aei.org/op-eds/you-cant-replace-congress-with-the-president/?utm_campaign=21086878-DIGITAL_NLR%20AEI%20Today&utm_medium=email&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-9gHYaUwfroDvkEgx_EyVUJiuuDVskoqpkkArCIcTj95DXhpssBvxOfO_d64YJWDsmQ5iRXRvlKyDOCMr1ZswLBgQhU6Q&_hsmi=383944785&utm_content=383944785&utm_source=hs_email

 

 

Visit Investing for Survival’s website (http://investingforsurvival.com/home) to learn more about our Investment Strategy, Prices Disciplines and Subscriber Service.

 

 

 

No comments:

Post a Comment