The Morning Call
10/15/25
Please help support Investing for
Survival. I don’t ask for subscription fees. But your kind donations keep me in
operation. If you can only afford to give a little, then give a little. If you
can afford to give more………. All donations will be appreciated. Just click on
the Donate button.
The
Market
Technical
Tuesday in the
charts.
Tuesday in the technical stats.
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/momentum
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/sectors/rankings
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/signals/new-recommendations
Latest from
Goldman’s desk.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-market-feels-hotel-california
Update on
advance/decline line.
https://bonddad.blogspot.com/2025/10/more-on-stock-market-indexes-advance.html
Low bond volatility is a precursor to a big
move in yields.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/low-bond-volatility-precursor-larger-move-yields
Technical analysis
of gold.
https://talkmarkets.com/content/commodities/technical-analysis-gold-tuesday-oct-14?post=528314
Gold overbought (selling the other half of
my GDX).
https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/gold-more-overbought-1980-upside-panic
Fundamental
The
Economy
US
Weekly mortgage
applications dropped 1.8% while purchase applications were down 2.7%.
Month to date
retail chain store sales grew 5.9% versus 5.8% in the prior week.
The October NY Fed
manufacturing index came in at 10.7 versus forecasts of -5.
https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/new-york-factory-activity-surged-october-jobs-orders-jump
International
August Japanese
industrial production fell 1.5% versus projections of -1.2%; August EU
industrial production was down 1.2% versus -2.2%.
September Chinese
CPI was up 0.1%, in line.
Other
Monetary
Policy
In
speech, Powell tilts dovish.
At what level is the Fed balance sheet ample?
https://mishtalk.com/economics/fed-debates-whether-a-6-trillion-balance-sheet-is-ample/
Fiscal
Policy
Some good news on the budget deficit.
https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2025/10/14/underneath-noise-budget-deficit-progress
How much will we lose lending to Argentina?
https://econbrowser.com/archives/2025/10/how-much-will-we-lose-lending-to-argentina
The great ‘debasement trade’.
A contrarian view of the ‘debasement trade’.
Geopolitics
Are US/Russia tensions about to spiral out of
control?
Investing
The return of tariff
man.
https://alhambrapartners.com/weekly-market-pulse-the-return-of-tariff-man-2/?src=news
Boring can be a
good thing.
Thinking about the AI bubble.
https://disciplinefunds.com/2025/10/11/three-things-weekend-reading-18/
Gold not following
the model.
https://mrzepczynski.blogspot.com/2025/10/gold-not-following-fundamental-model.html
Gold is the new
bitcoin.
A dollar rally
could be the next jolt to the Market.
https://www.ft.com/content/16ac846c-4d71-4886-9ffa-2b01dc4dfe99
Update on Q3
S&P earnings dashboard.
https://talkmarkets.com/content/us-markets/sp-500-earnings-dashboard-25q3-tuesday-oct-14?post=528312
It is mathematically
impossible to beat the S&P.
https://rockandturner.substack.com/p/beat-the-s-and-p500-mathematically
News on Stocks in Our Portfolios
What
I am reading today
Visit Investing
for Survival’s website (http://investingforsurvival.com/home)
to learn more about our Investment Strategy, Prices Disciplines and Subscriber
Service.
No comments:
Post a Comment