The Morning Call
8/15/25
The
Market
Technical
Thursday in the
charts.
https://www.zerohedge.com/market-recaps/bitcoin-bullion-dumped-hot-ppi-prompts-plunge-bonds
Thursday in the technical stats.
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/momentum
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/sectors/rankings
The latest from
Goldman’s trading desk.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/why-goldmans-trading-floor-buying-todays-dip-both-hands
Retail investors
have changed the game.
Charts for the
beach.
https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2025/08/14/charts-for-beach
Sentiment and stock
prices diverge.
https://talkmarkets.com/content/stocks--equities/sentiment-and-stock-prices-diverge?post=515542
ETH fever.
https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/eth-fever-fomo-treasuries-buying-and-25k-price-targets
Fundamental
Headlines
The
Economy
US
July retail sales were
up 0.5%, in line; ex autos, they were up 0.3%, also in line.
More on retail sales from BofA.
The August NY Fed
manufacturing index came in at 11.9 versus projections of 1.0.
International
Q2 Japanese YoY
private consumption was up 0.2% versus estimates of +0.1%; Q2 YoY capital expenditures
were up 1.3% versus +0.5%; the Q2 YoY price index was up 3.0% versus +3.1%;
June industrial production was up 2.1% versus +1.7%.
July Chinese YoY industrial
production rose 5.7% versus predictions of +5.9%; July YoY retail sales were up
3.7% versus +4.6%; July YoY fixed asset investments were up 1.6% versus +2.7%;
the July unemployment rate was 5.2% versus 5.1%.
Other
Slowly strangling the pharmaceutical
industry.
https://www.civitasinstitute.org/research/slowly-strangling-the-pharmaceutical-industry
Update on business cycle indicators.
https://econbrowser.com/archives/2025/08/business-cycle-indicators-w-monthly-gdp
Mortgage delinquencies decreased slightly in Q2.
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/08/mba-mortgage-delinquencies-decreased.html
The
beginning of a profit squeeze.
https://bonddad.blogspot.com/2025/08/producer-prices-for-july-apparently.html
Fiscal
Policy
National
security for sale.
https://www.cato.org/blog/nvidia-amds-deal-trump-administration-national-security-sale
What data falsification looks like.
https://www.aei.org/foreign-and-defense-policy/what-data-falsification-looks-like/
Where is Bessent getting his rate model?
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/business/wall-street-banks-crypto-stablecoins.html
Investing
The magnificent
493.
https://ritholtz.com/2025/08/the-magnificent-493/
How bubbles form.
Are investors being too pollyannish?
https://www.ft.com/content/045d2054-ebf7-4462-b761-2138c4ebd7f0
Wall Street’s
abrupt switch on crypto.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/13/business/wall-street-banks-crypto-stablecoins.html
Ethereum’s moment?
https://talkmarkets.com/content/ethereums-moment-why-10k-eth-is-back-on-the-table?post=515543
News on Stocks in Our Portfolios
What
I am reading today
Friday
morning humor.
7
Major Advantages Of Female Umpires | Babylon Bee
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