The Morning Call
7/11/25
The
Market
Technical
Thursday in the
charts.
Thursday in the technical stats.
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/momentum
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/sectors/rankings
Melt up madness.
https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/melt-madness-vol-collapses-complacency-soars
Seasonality and hedging
the momentum tantrum.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/you-are-here-seasonality-hedging-momentum-tantrum
Bitcoin breaks
out.
https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/moon-mode-melt-btc-breaks-out-200k-sight
Fundamental
Headlines
The
Economy
US
International
May UK GDP was
down 0.1% versus forecasts of +0.1%; May industrial production fell 0.9% versus
0.0%; the May trade balance was -L5.9 billion versus -L6.0 billion; May YoY
construction output was up 1.2% versus up 1.7%.
June German PPI was up 0.2%, in line.
Other
The declining status of the dollar as a global
reserve asset.
Hotel occupancy rate decreases YoY.
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/07/hotels-occupancy-rate-decreased-04-year.html
A deeper dive into
the weekly jobless claims number.
https://bonddad.blogspot.com/2025/07/jobless-claims-continue-to-suggest.html
Fiscal
Policy
A closer look at the social security tax breaks
in the BBB.
It is so annoying
when someone (Bidens’s chief economist) who is partly responsible for a problem
(the soaring debt/deficit) excuses their role then whines that the opposition has
now made it a crisis. Of course, I guess that I should be happy that he now
recognizes it even if he dodges his responsibility in it.
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/07/09/opinion/debt-deficit-economy-shock.html
A word of caution.
https://www.axios.com/2025/07/09/trump-tariffs-big-beautiful-bill
And now for the
good news. The Supreme Court rules in favor on Trump’s efforts to reduce the
size of government.
The national
debt/deficit in the charts.
https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/if-something-cannot-go-forever-it-will-stop
Inflation
Main Street fears tariff inflation more than
Wall Street.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/main-street-fear-much-bigger-tariff-shock-wall-street
Tariffs
Trump’s latest moves---more bark than bite?
The
ridiculous definition of reciprocal tariffs. (Note: I continue to believe that this is
Trump’s way of raising taxes to deal with the deficit.)
Investing
Become an
investment hermit.
https://tonyisola.com/2025/07/become-an-investment-hermit/
How to choose a
crypto ETF.
Active patience is
knowing what you are looking for and doing nothing until you find it.
https://microcapclub.com/no-paralysis-through-analysis/
Another warning that risk is being underestimated.
News on Stocks in Our Portfolios
High
yielding stocks with big payouts (MO, TROW).
https://talkmarkets.com/content/stocks--equities/3-high-yield-stocks-with-secure-payouts?post=508375
What
I am reading today
Friday morning
humor.
17 out of place artifacts suggest
that high tech civilizations existed thousands of years ago.
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for Survival’s website (http://investingforsurvival.com/home)
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