Wednesday, May 8, 2024

The Morning Call--Goldman buyback desk 'very active' again

 

The Morning Call

 

5/8/24

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Tuesday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/kashkari-consumer-credit-curtail-stock-bond-gains

 

            Goldman buyback desk ‘very active’ again.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-our-buyback-desk-very-active-again-55-billion-deck-every-day-month

 

            Will the dollar remain strong?

            https://www.ft.com/content/69e846b8-3561-4a45-803c-333d7da3e9e4

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

Weekly mortgage applications were up 2.6% while purchase applications were up 1.8%.

 

                          Month to date retail chain store sales grew faster than in the prior week.

 

The May business optimism index came in at 41.8 versus projections of 44.1.

 

                        International

 

                          March EU retail sales rose 0.8% versus estimates of +0.6%.

 

March German industrial production fell 0.4% versus predictions of -0.6%.

 

                        Other

 

                          The fiscal impact of low skill immigration.

                          https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/05/the-fiscal-impact-of-low-skill-immigration.html

 

                          New home sales improving but not enough to stop downtrend.

                          https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2024/05/good-month-for-new-home-sales-not-yet.html

 

                          April rail carloads down YoY; intermodal up.

                          https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2024/05/aar-rail-carloads-down-yoy-in-april.html

 

                          April wholesale used car prices down 14%.

                          https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2024/05/wholesale-used-car-prices-declined-in.html

 

            The Fed

 

              Another vote for less Fed talk.

              https://alhambrapartners.com/2024/05/05/weekly-market-pulse-what-did-he-say/?src=news

 

            Inflation

 

              What stage are we in the business cycle?

              https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2024/05/07/fed-may-be-forced-to-raise-rates-not-lower-them

 

            Recession

 

              Why the economy is so strong?

              https://www.apolloacademy.com/why-is-the-economy-still-so-strong-2/

 

              Global economic growth at ten month high.

              https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/7a114c7d7f124b99a4935c574aa1e26e

 

              Sahm rule recession indicator.

              https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMCURRENT

 

              Shocking collapse of credit card debt growth.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/shocking-collapse-credit-card-debt-growth-just-card-aprs-hit-all-time-high

 

            Global Politics

 

              The great Ukraine train robbery.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/great-ukraine-robbery-not-over-yet-ron-paul

 

    Bottom line.

 

            Buffett invests in T Bills instead of stocks. What does that tell you?

            https://wolfstreet.com/2024/05/06/buffett-invests-in-t-bills-instead-of-stocks-waits-for-bad-stuff-to-happen-cash-is-king-at-5-plus/

 

            Goldman bearish on the consumer.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/largest-us-trading-desk-getting-bearish-us-consumer

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

T. Rowe Price (NASDAQ:TROW) declares $1.24/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.

 

What I am reading today

 

           

            The worst airline offenders of mishandled bags.

            https://jalopnik.com/airlines-mishandled-2-8-million-bags-in-2023-these-wer-1851433926

 

 

 

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