The Morning Call
5/8/25
The
Market
Technical
Wednesday in the
charts.
https://www.zerohedge.com/market-recaps/stocks-bitcoin-jump-china-hope-powell-nope-trump-rope-dope
Wednesday in the
Market stats.
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/momentum
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/sectors/sectors-heat-map
The 200 DMA
(~5740) remains critical.
https://www.investors.com/news/stock-market-bottom-2020-signals/
Ditto.
https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2025/05/07/resistance-futile-bulls-bears
Stocks on edge of chase higher.
https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/markets-edge-chase
Stocks heading to
new highs.
Market internals heating
up.
US companies plan
$500 billion in share buybacks.
https://www.ft.com/content/8361835c-6955-4ee3-80a1-8e7e19127e6c
The dollar is
vulnerable to heavy selling from Asia.
Fundamental
Headlines
The
Economy
US
Weekly initial jobless claims totaled 228,000
versus estimates of 230,000.
Preliminary Q1
nonfarm productivity fell 0.8% versus expectations of -0.7%.
March consumer
credit rose by $10.2 billion versus consensus of +$9.5 billion.
International
The March German
trade balance was +E21.1 billion versus projections of +E19.1 billion.
Other
Latest Q2 nowcast---with caveats.
https://www.capitalspectator.com/rebound-for-initial-us-q2-gdp-nowcast-could-be-misleading/
Monetary
Policy
FOMC statement: no change, rates steady,
portfolio runoff continues.
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/05/fomc-statement-no-change-to-fed-funds.html
Bank of England cuts rates.
Recession
Another recession indicator.
https://disciplinefunds.com/2025/05/05/three-things-recessions-more-tariffs-and-time/
Update on key business cycle indicators.
https://econbrowser.com/archives/2025/05/business-cycle-indicators-6-may-2025
Tariffs
US/UK trade deal to be announced this morning.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trump-reveal-major-trade-deal-between-us-uk
China orders 14 Boeing jets.
Empty shelves by late May?
https://thedailyeconomy.org/article/tariff-tension-will-us-shelves-be-empty-by-late-may/
Impact to date of China tariffs.
https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2025/05/us-china-trade-drops-ahead-of-trumps.html
The latest US port shipping data.
Investing
Update on Q1
earnings dashboard.
Surviving the
wrong turns in the Market.
https://www.safalniveshak.com/how-to-survive-the-wrong-turns-in-life-and-the-markets/
The gold dilemma
isn’t going away.
https://abnormalreturns.com/2025/05/06/the-gold-dilemma-isnt-going-anywhere/
Are investors
ignoring the goals of Trump’s agenda?
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/storm-calm
News on Stocks in Our Portfolios
UPS (NYSE:UPS) declares $1.64/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.
What
I am reading today
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