The Morning Call
2/21/25
The
Market
Technical
Thursday
in the charts.
7
reasons why stocks will trade down.
https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/goldmans-7-reasons-why-stocks-will-trade-down
The
latest from Goldman’s flows guru.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/27-trillion-opex-looms-goldman-flows-guru-says-im-correction-watch
Favorite
retail momentum names are crashing.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/retail-favorite-momentum-names-are-crashing-heres-one-reason-why
Puts
to buy for a pullback.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/puts-buy-pullback-goldman
More
from Goldman and JP Morgan.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/momentum-massacre-post-mortem-todays-retail-puke-goldman-jpm
Fundamental
Headlines
The
Economy
US
The January leading
economic indicators fell 0.3% versus forecasts of -0.1%.
International
January Japanese CPI
was +0.5% versus projections of +0.2%; the February flash manufacturing PMI was
48.9 versus 49.0; the flash services PMI was 53.1 versus 52.2; the flash composite
PMI was 51.6 versus 51.5.
January UK retail
sales grew 1.7% versus consensus of +0.3%; ex fuel, they were up 2.1% versus
+0.9%; the February consumer confidence index was -20 versus -22; the February flash
manufacturing PMI was 46.4 versus 48.4; the flash services PMI was 51.1 versus
50.8; the flash composite PMI was 50.5, in line.
The February German
flash manufacturing PMI was 46.1 versus expectations of 45.5; the flash
services PMI was 52.2 versus 52.5; the flash composite PMI was 51.0 versus 50.8;
the February EU flash manufacturing PMI was 47.3 versus 47.0; the flash
services PMI was 52.2 versus 52.5; the flash composite PMI was 50.2 versus 50.5.
Other
How world trade has changed.
https://mrzepczynski.blogspot.com/2025/02/how-world-trade-has-changed-real-issue.html
Thursday in the economic charts.
https://dailyshotbrief.com/the-daily-shot-brief-february-20th-2025/
January inbound traffic at LA ports at record
levels.
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/02/la-ports-record-inbound-traffic-in.html
January architecture billings remain soft.
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/02/aia-architecture-billings-billings.html
Overnight
News
The US and EU have
discussed a potential deal to cut and ultimately scrap tariffs on car imports. EU
officials insisted there was “positive momentum: towards a compromise between
the two sides following talks in Washington this week.
Recession
Growing
distress in the commercial real estate market.
Fiscal
Policy
Trump terminates all federal benefits going to
illegal aliens.
Investing
As go earnings, so
goes stocks.
Update on outlook for
dividends.
https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2025/02/the-outlook-for-s-500-dividends-in.html
The bond market: stable
but on alert.
https://www.capitalspectator.com/despite-inflation-risk-bond-market-holds-on-to-gains-in-2025/
The Treasury has a demand problem.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/treasuries-demand-loss-golds-gain
Desperation in the
global gold market.
https://talkmarkets.com/content/commodities/desperation-in-the-global-gold-market?post=483279
News on Stocks in Our Portfolios
What
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