Wednesday, March 2, 2022

The Morning Call--Investors bet that Ukraine will slow central bank tightening & Buyer Alert

The Morning Call

 

3/2/22

 

Sorry for the delay.  My internet was down.

 

The Market

         

    Technical

                  

                   Tuesday in the charts.

                   https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-slammed-bonds-bitcoin-bullion-black-gold-soar

 

                   Retail investors buying puts.

                   https://sentimentrader.com/blog/retail-traders-rush-to-buy-protection-as-dumb-money-confidence-craters/

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

 Weekly mortgage applications declined 0.7% while purchase applications were down 1.8%.

 

 Month to date retail chain store sales grew at a slower pace   than in the prior week.

                              

                          January construction spending was up 1.3% versus consensus of +0.2%.

                          https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/03/construction-spending-increased-13-in.html

 

The February manufacturing PMI came in at 57.3 versus predictions of 57.5.

                           https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2022/03/01/february-markit-manufacturing-activity-rebounds

                                                     

The February ISM manufacturing index was reported at 58.6 versus expectations of 58.0.

                          https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2022/03/01/february-ism-manufacturing-index-demand-driven-supply-chain-constricted

 

The February ADP private payrolls report showed job increases of 475,000 versus projections of 388,000.

 

 

                        International

 

The January German unemployment rate was 3.1% versus estimates of 3.2%.

 

February EU flash CPI was +0.9% versus forecasts of +0.4%.

 

                        Other

 

                          The Atlanta Fed cuts its Q1 GDP nowcast to 0.0%.

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stagflation-deck-atlanta-fed-cuts-q1-gdp-00

 

                          Geopolitical strategists exist to make economist look good.

                          https://alhambrapartners.com/2022/02/27/weekly-market-pulse-well-that-was-a-surprise/

 

                          January median household income.

                          https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2022/03/median-household-income-in-january-2022.html#.Yh51kOjMKUk

 

            The Fed

 

              Investors bet that the Ukraine crisis will slow central bank monetary tightening.

              https://www.ft.com/content/0886ebb2-a9a5-45d6-9577-559aab413286

 

            Inflation

 

              Rents increasing sharply year over year.

              https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2022/03/rents-still-increasing-sharply-year.html

 

            Geopolitics

 

Europe’s wakeup call---irrespective of Putin’s plan for any future invasions of EU countries, Europe has finally realized it has a responsibility to defend itself.

https://www.city-journal.org/ukraine-invasion-is-europes-wake-up-call

 

This link is to a video that shows the annual geographical makeup of Europe from 400BC to present.  Notice that, with the exception of a few years, Ukraine never existed except as a part of the Russian empire.

https://thereformedbroker.com/2022/03/01/europes-borders-400-bc-thru-today/

 

              This would be funny if it weren’t so sad/unsettling.

              https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2022/03/we-are-not-a-serious-country-5.php

 

              A cold war déjà vu moment.

              https://www.cnbc.com/video/2022/03/01/this-is-a-cold-war-deja-vu-moment-says-ed-yardeni.html?__source=sharebar|linkedin&par=sharebar

 

              The list of foreign companies pulling out of Russia keeps growing.

  https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-02-28/which-u-s-european-companies-are-pulling-out-of-russia-after-ukraine-  invasion?srnd=premium&sref=loFkkPMQ

 

              Hitting Russia where it hurts the most.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/market-starting-fail-buyers-balk-buying-russian-oil-despite-record-discounts

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

Buyer Alert

 

Yesterday the Dividend Growth Portfolio purchased one half position in Primerica ($124)

 

What I am reading today

 

            How Einstein arrived at his theory of general relativity.

            https://lithub.com/how-einstein-arrived-at-his-theory-of-general-relativity/

 

 

Visit Investing for Survival’s website (http://investingforsurvival.com/home) to learn more about our Investment Strategy, Prices Disciplines and Subscriber Service.

 

 

 


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