Tuesday, March 8, 2022

The Morning Call---More debt

 

The Morning Call

 

3/8/22

 

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Monday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/carnage-everywhere-market-begins-break

 

Note: the S&P, having made a fifth lower high, is now challenging the lower boundary of its short term trading range.  If it remains there through the close on Wednesday, it will reset to a downtrend.  It also finished near, though still above, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.

 

            More bears than bulls.

            https://allstarcharts.com/morebears22/

 

            Volatility in everything is spiking.

            https://sentimentrader.com/blog/the-volatility-of-everything-is-spiking--7-3-2022/

 

            Bond volatility is spiking.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/cq-g2os5zj

 

            Nickle trading is halted after 250% surge.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/nickel-halted-after-historic-250-surge-costing-chinese-tycoon-billions-margin-losses

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

The February small business optimism index was reported at 95.7 versus expectations of 97.0.

 

The January trade balance was -$89.7 billion versus forecasts of -$87.1 billion.

 

                        International

                            

                             Q4 EU GDP grew 0.3%, in line.

 

The preliminary January Japanese leading economic indicators came in at 103.7 versus consensus of 104.2.

 

The January/February Chinese trade balance was +$94.9 billion versus estimates of +$99.5 billion.

 

January German factory orders rose 1.8% versus predictions of +1.0%; January retail sales were up 2% versus 1.8%; January industrial production was up 2.7% versus +0.5%.

 

                        Other

                         

            Fiscal Policy

 

              Greedy corporations are not the cause of inflation.

              https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2022/03/07/no-greedy-corporations-arent-causing-inflation

 

              Just what the doctor ordered---more debt.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/european-currencies-rally-eu-mulls-creation-joint-fund-military-energy

 

            Geopolitics

 

              The US is not trying high level diplomacy to end conflict in Ukraine.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-not-trying-high-level-diplomacy-end-fighting-ukraine

 

     Bottom line.

 

            Update on the Buffett indicator.

            https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2022/03/07/market-cap-to-gdp-february-buffett-valuation-indicator

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

 

 

What I am reading today

 

           

 

 

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