Tuesday, March 1, 2022

The Morning Call--A challenging March/April

 

The Morning Call

 

 

3/1/22

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Monday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/crypto-jumps-stocks-pumpndump-cracks-appear-global-financial-system-plumbing

 

            Buying opportunity?

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/czdfxqxxgy

 

            Bond spreads are widening.

            http://www.athrasher.com/bond-spreads-are-widening/

 

            Goldman says gold the currency of last resort.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-says-gold-currency-last-resort-trumps-treasuries-haven-choice

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

                          The February Chicago PMI was reported at 56.3 versus forecasts of 63.0.

 

The February Dallas Fed manufacturing  index was 14 versus projections of 1.

                           https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2022/02/28/february-dallas-fed-manufacturing-slower-expansion

 

                        International

 

The February Japanese manufacturing PMI came in at 52.7, in line; the February EU manufacturing PMI was 58.2 versus 58.4; the February UK manufacturing PMI was 58.0 versus 57.3; the February Chinese manufacturing PMI was 50.2 versus 49.9; the February Chinese nonmanufacturing PMI was 51.6 versus 51.5; the February Chinese composite PMI was 51.2 versus 51.3; the February Chinese Caixin (small business) manufacturing PMI was 50.4 versus 49.3.

 

Preliminary February German CPI was +0.9%, in line.

 

                        Other

 

                          Regional Fed manufacturing overview.

                          https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2022/02/28/february-regional-fed-manufacturing-overview

 

                          How ‘money’ gets valued.

  https://www.forbes.com/sites/johntamny/2022/02/27/the-phd-dollar-standard-has-been-an-abject-failure-lets-return-money-to-the-marketplace/?sh=6e30d5f213a6

 

 

                                                The Fed

 

                          The Fed’s historic error.

                          https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/us-federal-reserve-inflation-policy-mistakes-by-mohamed-a-el-erian-2022-02

 

                                                Inflation

 

                          Corporations are raising prices as consumers spend with a vengeance

                          https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/27/business/economy/price-increases-inflation.html

 

 

                                                Geopolitics

 

Why Ukraine matters  (a good article except for the last paragraph which drifts into US domestic politics).

https://quillette.com/2022/02/26/why-ukraine-matters/

 

                          War in Ukraine threatens new shortages.

                          https://www.wsj.com/articles/war-ukraine-supply-chain-russia-oil-11645995369

 

                          Have the Germans finally figured it out?

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/germany-goes-full-energy-policy-overhaul-amid-ukraine-crisis

 

                        The coronavirus

 

                          The fog of ignorance.

                          https://www.adamsmith.org/blog/the-fog-of-ignorance-argument-for-minarchy

 

     Bottom line.

 

            A challenging March/April.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/wall-streets-biggest-bear-we-are-track-extremely-challenging-march-april

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

Hormel Foods press release (NYSE:HRL): Q1 GAAP EPS of $0.44 in-line.

Revenue of $3.04B (+23.6% Y/Y) beats by $120M.

 

Bank of Nova Scotia press release (NYSE:BNS): Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of C$2.15 beats by C$0.10.

Revenue of C$8.05B (-0.2% Y/Y) beats by C$180M.

Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE:BNS) declares CAD 1.00/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.

 

What I am reading today

 

           

 

 

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