Friday, September 13, 2024

The Morning Call--25 or 50?

 

The Morning Call

 

9/13/24

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Thursday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/gold-surges-new-record-high-after-hot-ppi-ecb-triggers-dollar-dump

 

            Gold hits new record high.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/ing-bank-gold-rally-just-getting-started

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

                        International

 

July Japanese industrial production was up 3.1% versus forecasts of up 2.8%; July EU industrial production fell 0.3%, in line.

 

                        Other

 

                          Household net worth increased $2.8 trillion in Q2.

                          https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2024/09/feds-flow-of-funds-household-net-worth.html

 

            Monetary Policy

 

              25 or 50?

              https://disciplinefunds.com/2024/09/11/25-or-50/

 

            Fiscal Policy

 

              Fiscal policy poses the greatest danger for increasing inflation.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/most-flagrant-transgressor-fiscal-rectitude-also-greatest-danger-resurfacing-inflation

 

              Interest of US debt surpasses $1 trillion.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/endgame-interest-us-debt-surpasses-1-trillion-first-time-ever-exploding-august-budget

 

            Inflation

 

              Six measures of core inflation.

              https://econbrowser.com/archives/2024/09/five-measures-of-instantaneous-core-inflation

 

            Recession

 

              The probability of a recession is declining.

              https://www.apolloacademy.com/the-probability-of-a-recession-is-declining/

 

              Unemployment claims as a recession indicator.

              https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2024/09/11/unemployment-claims-as-a-recession-indicator-august-2024

 

     Bottom lone

 

            The case to buy cyclicals.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/case-buy-cyclicals

 

            Fair value estimate of the ten year Treasury.

            https://www.capitalspectator.com/10-year-us-treasury-yield-fair-value-estimate-11-september-2024/

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM) declares $0.57/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.

 

What I am reading today

 

           

                        Quote of the day.

            https://cafehayek.com/2024/09/quotation-of-the-day-4763.html

 

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