Friday, April 22, 2022

The Morning Call--Technical problems for the NASDAQ and the S&P

 

The Morning Call

 

4/22/22

 

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Thursday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bonds-bloodbath-fed-drops-hawkish-hammer

           

Still a bear market rally or is the bull back?

            https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2022/04/20/still-a-bear-market-rally-or-is-the-bull-back

 

            Technical problems for the NASDAQ.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/c2xoxofmkr

 

            Ditto for the S&P.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/beneath-surface-its-mess-sp-500-rejects-key-technical-level

 

            Bonds and the Fed are still behind the curve.

            http://scottgrannis.blogspot.com/2022/04/bonds-and-fed-are-still-way-behind-curve.html

 

            Some think bonds are attractive at these levels.

            https://www.ft.com/content/dfc6bb72-7995-4feb-a5b5-0ee1d14433ca

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

                          The March leading economic indicators were up 0.3%, in line.

 

                        International

 

March Japanese CPI was +0.4% versus projections of +0.6%; the April flash manufacturing PMI was 53.4 versus 53.0; the flash services PMI was 50.5 versus 49.0; the flash composite PMI was 50.9 versus 48.6.

 

March UK retail sales fell 1.4% versus expectations of -0.3%; ex fuel, they were down 1.1% versus +0.4%. April consumer confidence was -38 versus expectations of -33; the April flash manufacturing PMI was 55.3 versus 54.7; the flash services PMI was 58.3 versus 60.0; the flash composite PMI was 55.8 versus 53.0.

 

The April German flash manufacturing PMI was 54.1 versus consensus of 54.5; the flash services PMI was 57.9 versus 55.5; the flash composite PMI was 54.5 versus 54.1.

 

April EU flash consumer confidence came in at -16.9 versus estimates of -20; the April flash manufacturing PMI was 55.3 versus 54.7; the flash services PMI was 57.5 versus 55.0; the flash composite was 55.8 versus 53.9.

 

                        Other

 

              How severe is China’s economic slowdown?

              https://www.capitalspectator.com/how-severe-is-chinas-economic-slowdown/#more-17848

 

The Fed

 

  Zero to neutral in nine months is a major pivot for the Fed.

  https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/zero-neutral-9-months-marks-defining-pivot-fed-powell-2022-04-21/

 

Inflation

 

  Why inflation will get worse from here.

  https://americanconsequences.com/dr-david-eifrig-why-inflation-will-get-worse-from-here/

 

  Interest rates and inflation are set to go higher.

  https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2022/04/21/hear-me-out

 

Geopolitics

 

  More analysis of the Russia/Ukraine conflict.

  https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2022/04/russias-campaign-in-ukraine-and-the-wests-response-the-end-of-the-beginning.html

 

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

Genuine Parts press release (NYSE:GPC): Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.86 beats by $0.18.

Revenue of $5.3B (+18.6% Y/Y) beats by $220M.

 

What I am reading today

 

           

 

 

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