Friday, April 8, 2022

The Morning Call---S&P stuck in a range

 

The Morning Call

 

4/8/22

 

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Thursday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-oil-dump-n-pump-yield-curve-un-inverts

 

            S&P stuck in a range.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/chbfbhhccy

 

            Ed Yardini’s Market risk proxy remains low.

            https://www.linkedin.com/in/edward-yardeni/recent-activity/

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

February consumer credit rose by $41.8 billion versus estimates of +$16.6 billion.

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/shocking-us-consumer-credit-numbers-savings-long-gone-credit-card-debt-soars

 

                        International

 

March Japanese consumer confidence came in at 32.8 versus consensus of 34.0.

 

                        Other

                       

                          The hard truth about solving the energy crisis.

                           https://www.wired.co.uk/article/global-energy-crisis-price-rise-solution?utm_source=digg

               

                                  Some interesting non-Market related charts.

                          https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2022/04/the-geek-in-pictures-catch-up-edition.php

 

                The Fed

 

The Fed is about to make a huge policy mistake. Note: the Fed has already made a huge mistake with its irresponsibly aggressive QEForever monetary expansion and zero real rate Fed Funds policies. The author asks the right question at the end of the article---why do we keep trusting monetary policy to a bunch of ivory tower economists who are consistently wrong?

https://www.pragcap.com/the-fed-is-about-to-make-a-huge-policy-error/

 

            Fiscal Policy

 

              US gas production will fall due to lack of new pipelines.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/us-gas-production-set-fall-lack-pipelines

 

Another great idea from your friendly ruling class: green supply chain rules for corporations.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/political/green-us-supply-chain-rules-set-unspool-and-rattle-global-economy

 

            Inflation

 

              More on home affordability.

              https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2022/04/raw-affordability-of-new-homes-holds.html#.Yk8fz-jMKUk

 

              Goldman warns of higher oil prices.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/goldman-warns-self-sustaining-physical-financial-deficit-doom-loop-looms-oil-prices

 

     Bottom line

 

            More on valuations.

            https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2022/04/07/march-2022-market-valuation-inflation-and-treasury-yields

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

What I am reading today

 

            Thoughts on the soundness of artificial intelligence.

                https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2022/04/the-chinese-room-thinks.html

 

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