Wednesday, May 3, 2023

The Morning Call---Dealing with 'moral hazard'

The Morning Call

 

5/3/23

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

Tuesday in the charts.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bonds-bullion-burst-higher-banks-battered-jolts-plunge-ahead-jay-powell

 

More pain to come.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-trading-desk-warns-bank-selling-spreading-and-could-get-far-worse

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

                         

Weekly mortgage applications fell 1.2% while purchase applications were down 2.0%.

                         

Month to date retail chain store sales grew less rapidly than in the prior week.

 

March job openings (JP)LTS) totaled 9.59 million versus expectations of 9.77 million.

https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2023/05/02/march-jolts-update-job-openings-fall-to-nearly-2-year-low

 

March factory orders were up 0.9% versus predictions of +1.1%; ex transportation, they were down 0.7% versus +0.3%.

                         

The April ADP private payrolls report showed an increase in employment of 296,000 versus forecasts of 148,000.

                                                                                                            

                        International

                       

                          The March EU unemployment rate was 6.5% versus consensus of 6.6%.

 

                        Other

 

              March median household income.

              https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2023/05/median-household-income-in-march-2023.html#.ZFE1tXbMLSw

 

The Fed

 

  ECB considers another rate hike as eurozone prices continue to rise.

  https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/02/business/eurozone-inflation-april.html

 

  The Reserve Bank of Australia unexpectedly raises rates.

  https://www.wsj.com/articles/australia-spooked-by-inflation-resumes-raising-interest-rates-8356008d?mod=economy_more_pos1

 

Fiscal Policy

 

  The cost of economic nationalism.

  https://www.econlib.org/the-cost-of-economic-nationalism/

 

            Recession

           

              Not dead yet.

              https://alhambrapartners.com/2023/05/01/weekly-market-pulse-not-dead-yet/

 

  Slowing demand for fuels increases fear of recession.

  https://www.ft.com/content/0557acef-29fe-4354-8ac0-df5890787454

 

            Geopolitics

 

              Assassination attempt against Putin---this can’t be good.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/putin-targeted-terrorist-assassination-attempt-drones-kremlin

 

            The Banking System

 

              Dealing with ‘moral hazard’.

              https://rationalwalk.com/moral-hazard-in-banking/

                                  

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

CVS Health press release (NYSE:CVS): Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $2.20 beats by $0.11.

Revenue of $85.3B (+11.0% Y/Y) beats by $4.63B.

 

What I am reading today

 

            More history on the development of financial markets.

            https://investoramnesia.com/financial-history-timeline/

 

                        Quote of the day.

            https://cafehayek.com/2023/05/bonus-quotation-of-the-day-923.html

 

A massive cavern beneath a west Antarctica glacier is teeming with life.

https://www.sciencenews.org/article/cavern-west-antarctic-glacier-life

 

Our law enforcement is really busy chasing down dangerous criminals.

https://nalert.blogspot.com/2023/05/new-york-city-police-are-investigating.html

 

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