Thursday, October 27, 2022

The Morning Call---Fed's favorite yield curve indicator inverts

 

The Morning Call

 

10/27/22

 

The Market

         

    Technical


           
Wednesday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/tech-wrecks-bonds-bullion-bitcoin-bid-rate-hike-odds-slide

 

            Stocks bottom first.

            https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2022/10/25/stocks-bottom-first/

 

            Fed’s favorite yield curve indicator inverts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/feds-favorite-yield-curve-indicator-inverts-recession-imminent

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

  Weekly initial jobless claims totaled totaled 217,000 versus estimates of 220,000.

                       

  September new home sales fell 10.9% versus expectations of -13.9%;    September building permits were up 1.4%, in line.

 

  September durable goods orders rose 0.4% versus projections of +0.6%; ex transportation, they were down 0.5% versus +0.2%.

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-core-durables-orders-tumble-most-covid-lockdown-collapse-capex-shrinks

 

  Advanced Q3 real consumer spending was up 1.4% versus forecasts of +2.0%; core PCE was +4.5%, in line.

                               

                        International

 

                           November German consumer confidence was reported at -41.9, in line.

 

                        Other

           

The Fed

 

  The Fed fever is cooling off.

  https://scottgrannis.blogspot.com/2022/10/fed-fever-is-cooling-off.html

 

              ECB hikes rates 75 basis points.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ecb-hikes-75bps-expected-and-will-raise-further-deciding-meeting-meeting-changes-tltro

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

Mastercard press release (NYSE:MA): Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $2.68 beats by $0.10.

Revenue of $5.8B (+16.0% Y/Y) beats by $140M.

 

T. Rowe Price press release (NASDAQ:TROW): Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.86 in-line.

Revenue of $1.59B (-18.5% Y/Y) beats by $60M.

 

Altria press release (NYSE:MO): Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.28 misses by $0.02.

Revenue of $5.41B (-2.2% Y/Y) misses by $180M.

 

 

What I am reading today

 

           

 

 

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