Tuesday, May 6, 2014

Sherwin Williams (SHW) 2014 Review

Sherwin Williams Co. is one of the largest producers of paints, varnishes and application equipment, much of its sold through 3500+ retail paint and wall covering stores; in addition, it produces auto coatings which are sold through auto coatings outlets.  The company has grown profits and dividends at an 11% pace over the last 10 years earning a 20%+ return on equity.  The company’s revenues and profits are negatively impacted by weakness in the construction and housing markets.  However, it should still grow at an above average pace as a result of:

(1) improving US and international sales in autos, OEM product finishes and protective and marine coatings,

(2) aggressive expansion overseas,

(3) a major re-organization that will reduce costs, improve productivity and generate cash flow that will be used to reduce debt and buy back stock.

            (4) acquisitions.

 Negatives

(1) its retail paint stores are being impacted by US economic weakness,

(2) a poor pricing environment in the consumer segment,

(3) rising material costs

(4) currency fluctuations.

SHW is rated A+ by Value Line, has a 39% debt to equity ratio and its stock yields 1.1%.
 
  Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend          Payout      # Increases  
                 Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2004

SHW          1.1%          16%              25%              10
Ind Ave      1.5             14                 37                NA 

                 Debt/                         EPS Down       Net        Value Line
                 Equity         ROE       Since 2004      Margin       Rating

SHW          39%           41%            3                 9%           A+
Ind Ave       27              31              NA              8             NA.

     Chart

            Note: SHW stock made great progress off its March 2009 low, quickly surpassing the downtrend off its July 2007 high (straight red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term, the stock is in an uptrend (blue lines).  Intermediate term, it is in an uptrend (purple lines).  Short term, it is in an uptrend (brown line).  The wiggly red line is the 50 day moving average.  The Dividend Growth Portfolio owns a 50% in SHW, having Sold Half in mid-2013.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $91; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $185.

  

5/14

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