Tuesday, December 15, 2020

The Morning Call--Upgrade the quality of your portfolio

The Morning Call

 

12/15/20

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Monday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/americas-v-day-sparks-safe-haven-protection-buying-stocks-sell-news

 

            Low interest rates do not justify higher stock prices.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/shiller-ecy-justification-sky-high-stock-prices

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

The December NY Fed manufacturing index was reported at 4.9 versus   estimates of 5.9.

 

                        International

 

October UK average earnings rose 2.7% versus consensus of +2.2%; unemployment was 4.9% versus 5.1%.

 

November YoY Chinese fixed asset investments were up 2.6%, in line;   industrial production was up 7%, also in line; retail sales were up 5.0% versus 5.2%; November unemployment was 5.2% versus 5.5%

 

                        Other

                          

                          Update on seven high frequency indicators on the economy.

                           https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2020/12/seven-high-frequency-indicators-for_14.html

 

                          Mass evictions expected at end of January.

                           https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/expect-most-evictions-history-ban-expires

 

                          Ed Yardini on inflation prospects.

                              http://blog.yardeni.com/2020/12/inflation-was-sooo-1970s-will-it-roar.html

 

                                  More on the likelihood of inflation.

                          http://econbrowser.com/archives/2020/12/inflation-looming-phillips-curve-vs-quantity-theory

 

                                  Could stagnation be coming to an end?

                          https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2020/12/why-did-the-great-stagnation-end.html

 

                                  Or getting worse?

                          https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2020/12/14/the-probability-of-stagflation-is-rising-1

 

                                  EU wobbles while France holds it hostage.

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/eu-continues-wobble-while-france-holds-it-ransom

 

                The Fed

 

              Two words.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/convoy-investments-bull-market-our-lifetime-explained-two-words

 

                  Global negative yielding debt tops $ 18 trillion.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/negative-yielding-debt-exceeds-18-trillion-global-market-cap-hits-100-trillion

 

            Bottom line.  Upgrade the quality of your portfolio.

                        https://alephblog.com/2020/12/11/yield-poison-4/

 

              What Bogle and Buffett both got right.

              https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stockpicking-legend-warren-buffett-and-index-champion-john-bogle-both-knew-the-other-was-right-about-investing-2020-12-10?mod=home-page

 

              2020 investing lessons.

              https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2020/12/my-2020-investing-lessons/

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

What I am reading today

 

            More wisdom from Morgan Housel.

            https://www.collaborativefund.com/blog/sure/

           

                        The story of Dave Brubeck’s ‘Take Five’.

            https://www.npr.org/2000/11/19/1114201/take-five

 

            Treasure hunter stays in jail five years rather than reveal location of loot.  The story of the incredible effort to locate and retrieve the gold in this treasure ship can be read in ‘Ship of Gold in the Deep Blue Sea’.  It is a great book.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/treasure-hunter-stays-5-years-jail-rather-reveal-location-gold-coins-worth-millions

 

Visit Investing for Survival’s website (http://investingforsurvival.com/home) to learn more about our Investment Strategy, Prices Disciplines and Subscriber Service.

 

 

 


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