Monday, June 15, 2020

Monday Morning Chartology

The Morning Call


The Market

            As you know, the S&P had a wild week.  The good news is that it challenged its 200 DMA (support) and failed.  The bad news is that it voided its very short term uptrend and created an ‘island top’ a negative technical formation.

            The long bond rallied strongly last week.  As you can see, it is fighting to re-set momentum to the upside.  Right now, it seems to be succeeding but follow through is needed to make that call.

            Gold had a decent week, but still was not able to re-establish upward momentum.  It is close.  Stay tuned.

            While the dollar had good days on Thursday and Friday, it has had a terrible month---setting a very short term downtrend and reverting both DMA from support to resistance.  My assumption is that UUP is going lower.

            The VIX seems to be pointing to more negative pin action in stocks.  It has voided its very short term downtrend and ended above both its 200 DMA (now support) and its 100 DMA for a second day (now resistance; if it remains there through the close today, it will revert to support).



       The coronavirus
            ***overnight update.

            Fearmongering the coronavirus.

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios


   This Week’s Data


            The June NY Fed manufacturing index came in at -0.2 versus forecasts of -29.8.


            May Chinese YoY fixed asset investments fell 6.3% versus estimates of -5.9%; industrial production was +4.4% versus +5.0%; retail sales were -2.8% versus -2.0%.

            The April EU trade balance was E2.9 billion versus expectations of E29.8 billion


            The ‘V’s are light on the right.

What I am reading today

            A brief history of Antifa, Part 1.

            Quote of the day.

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