Thursday, October 9, 2014

Praxair (PX) 2014 Review

Praxair Inc. (PX) is one of the world’s largest suppliers of industrial gases. It produces atmospheric, process and specialty gases used to enhance performance applications in the metal fabrication, primary metal, chemical, healthcare, electronic, glass, pulp, paper and environmental industries. PX has grown its earnings and dividends at a 13-19% pace annually for the last 10 years and earns a return on equity well in excess of 20%.  While the company is sensitive to economic factors, it should continue to grow earnings and dividends at an above average pace over an economic cycle as a result of:

(1) a major marketing effort expanding its coverage in its operating regions,

(2) an R&D effort that continuously develops new products and applications,

(3) significant growth in its end markets,

            (4) acquisitions.

Negatives:

(1) its large international operations subject it to foreign government regulations, import/export controls and currency fluctuations,

(2) its major cost is energy which is subject to price fluctuations,

(3) a highly competitive industry.

PX is rated A by Value Line, carries a 55% debt to equity ratio and its stock yields 2.1%.

  Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend         Payout      # Increases  
                Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2004

PX            2.1%            12%            40%              10
Ind Ave     1.7                9                29                NA 

                Debt/                        EPS Down       Net        Value Line
               Equity         ROE      Since 2004      Margin       Rating

PX            55%           26%            2                 16%           A
Ind Ave     32              17              NA               9              NA

       Chart

            Note: PX stock made great progress off its November 2008 low, quickly surpassing the downtrend off its June 2008 high (straight red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term it is in an uptrend (blue lines); intermediate term, it is in a trading range (purple lines).  The wiggly red line is the 50 day moving average.  The Dividend Growth Portfolio owns a full position in PX.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $118; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $166.


   
10/14

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