Tuesday, May 25, 2021

The Morning Call---Talking bubbles

The Morning Call

 

5/25/21

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            The S&P finished back above the lower boundary of its short term uptrend negating its second challenge in as many weeks.  As I have said repeatedly ‘I can’t see an end to this uptrend as long as the money keeps flowing with abundance and in the absence of any major negative exogenous event.’

 

            Monday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bitcoin-bullion-big-tech-soar-dollar-drop-resumes

 

            If gold is a fear hedge……..

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/cjttjtan1u

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

                        International

 

The May German business climate index came in at 99.2 versus estimates of 98.2; final Q1 GDP growth was -1.8% versus -1.7%.

 

                        Other

 

                          Update on seven high frequency economic indicators.

                          https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2021/05/seven-high-frequency-indicators-for_24.html

 

 

       The Fed

 

            The Fed thinks that it can have it all.

            https://www.reuters.com/business/job-inflation-tradeoff-exiled-fed-policy-could-mean-hot-summer-2021-05-24/

 

            Reverse repos near record highs.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/fed-alert-reverse-repo-usage-nears-record-repo-market-set-blow

           

 

      Biden’s Plan

 

Senators reach bipartisan $300 billion highway, roads and bridges spending package.

            https://www.cnbc.com/2021/05/23/senators-reach-bipartisan-agreement-on-300-billion-for-highways-roads-and-bridges.html

                       

      Inflation

 

            A new survey of inflation expectations.

            https://econbrowser.com/archives/2021/05/firm-inflation-expectations-a-new-survey

 

            Inflation, 1970’s, 1980’s and today.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/inflation-1970s-1980s-and-today

 

     The coronavirus

 

            Immunity or conformity.

            https://unclenap.com/immunity-or-conformity/

 

      Bottom line.          

 

            Talking bubbles with Jeremy Grantham.

            https://www.ft.com/content/5ab25e4c-e573-49f0-8a99-0e28092f548d

 

     Subscriber Alert

 

             In my quarterly review of the companies in our Portfolio, CH Robinson (CHRW) and Becton Dickinson (BDX) failed to meet the minimum financial quality standards for inclusion in the Dividend Growth Portfolio.  Accordingly, both positions will be Sold at the Market open.

 

     News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

          

Hormel Foods (NYSE:HRL) declares $0.245/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.

 

What I am reading today

 

            The municipal bond market may be on the brink of a dramatic change.

            https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2021/05/24/the-municipal-market-may-be-on-the-brink-of-a-dramatic-shift

 

            The cardiovascular secrets of giraffes.

            https://knowablemagazine.org/article/living-world/2021/heads-up-cardiovascular-secrets-giraffes

 

Visit Investing for Survival’s website (http://investingforsurvival.com/home) to learn more about our Investment Strategy, Prices Disciplines and Subscriber Service.

 

 

 


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