Tuesday, January 8, 2013

Sonoco (SON) 2013 Review

Sonoco Products Co is a leading producer of paper-based tubes and cores, flexible packaging, rigid plastic containers, cylinder paperboard, composite cans, protective partitions, wire and cable reels and point of purchase displays.  The company has grown profits and dividends at a 3-4% pace over the last five years earning a 13-15% return on equity.  The company should improve its earnings growth rate as a result of:

(1)    new product innovation.  SON has raised the amount of capital spending dedicated to new product opportunities,

(2)    acquisitions,

(3) its ongoing restructuring efforts to reduce costs and improve productivity.

Negatives

(1) rising costs of raw materials,

(2) lower volume in some product sectors,

(3) a major segment of its business is dependent on the housing industry.

Sonoco is rated A by Value Line, has a 47% debt to equity ratio, has raised its dividend for 27 consecutive years and its stock yields 4.0%.
   
        Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend         Payout      # Increases  
                Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2003

SON          4.0%          8%               49%             10
Ind Ave      1.7             8                 25                NA 

                Debt/                        EPS Down       Net        Value Line
                Equity         ROE      Since 2003      Margin       Rating

SON         47%            17%             4                 6%           A
Ind Ave     83               19               NA               6            NA

     Chart

            Note:  SON stock made good initial progress off its March 2009 low, surpassing the downtrend off its June 2007 high (red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term, SON is in an uptrend (straight blue lines).  Intermediate term, it is in a trading range (purple lines).  The wiggly blue line is on balance volume.  The High Yield Portfolio owns a 60% position in SON.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $22; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $41.




01/13

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