Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Morning Journal--This recovery is not different

News on Stocks in Our Portfolios---Courtesy of Seeking Alpha

Murphy Oil (MUR) +7.3% premarket after announcing it will spin off its U.S. downstream business into an independent company. MUR also authorizes a $2.50/share special dividend and $1B share buyback program.

W.W. Grainger (GWW): Q3 EPS of $2.81 misses by $0.08. Revenue of $2.28B (+8% Y/Y) misses by $40M. Shares -4.1% premarket.

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): Q3 EPS of $1.25 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $17.1B (+6.5% Y/Y) beats by $150M.

C.H. Robinson (CHRW) sells its payment services business, T-Chek Systems, to Electronic Funds Source for $302.5M in cash. T-Chek had annual payment services net revenues of $49.3 million and operating income of $24.6 million in 2011. T-Chek has been a subsidiary of C.H. Robinson since 1984.

Linear Technology (LLTC): FQ1 EPS of $0.45 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $335.1M (+2% Y/Y) in-line. Shares -3.3%

Pepsico (PEP): Q3 EPS of $1.20 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $16.65B misses by $350M.

BlackRock (BLK): Q3 EPS of $3.47 beats by $0.17. Revenue of $2.32B (+4% Y/Y) beats by $60M.

Abbott Laboratories (ABT): Q3 EPS of $1.30 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $9.77B misses by $160M.

Economics

   This Week’s Data

            The International Council of shopping Centers reported weekly sales of major retailers flat versus the prior week but up 2.7% versus the comparable period a year ago; Redbook Research reported month to date retail chain store sales up 1.5% versus the similar timeframe last month and up 1.8% on a year over year basis.

            September industrial production rose 0.4% versus forecasts of +0.2%; capacity utilization came in at 78.3, as anticipated.

            Weekly mortgage applications fell 4.2% while purchase applications rose 1.0%.

            September housing starts soared 16% versus estimates of a 2% increase.

   Other

            The current recovery is not different---the latest from Reinhart and Rogoff (medium):

            Declining growth in air cargo (short):

Politics

  Domestic

Why balancing the budget is impossible (2 minute video):

Optimal tax policy (short):

A great 6 minute video on welfare:

            China continues to avoid US Treasuries (short):

  International War Against Radical Islam

            Iran threatens oil spill (medium):

            Will Obama strike back at Libya (medium):

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