Wednesday, August 11, 2021

The Morning Call--Analysts lower year end interest rate target.

 

The Morning Call

 

8/11/21

 

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Tuesday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/big-tech-bonds-bitcoin-slide-dollar-hits-5-month-highs

 

            Technically speaking.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/biggest-risk

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

Weekly mortgage applications rose 2.8% while purchase applications were up 1.8%.

 

Month to date retail chain store sales grew less rapidly than in the prior week.

 

July CPI came in at +0.5%, in line; core CPI was +0.3% versus estimates of +0.4%.

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/core-cpi-slows-soaring-used-car-rent-costs-decelerate

 

                        International

 

                          July German CPI was +0.9%, in line.

 

July Japanese YoY machine tool orders were up 93.4% versus +96.6% in June.

 

                        Other

 

                          Mortgage loans in forbearance continue to decline.

                          https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2021/08/mba-survey-share-of-mortgage-loans-in_01981022618.html

 

            The Fed

 

              What exactly is the Fed’s dual mandate?

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/question-day-what-feds-real-dual-mandate

 

            Fiscal Policy

 

              Senate passes $3.5 trillion budget blueprint.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/political/senate-passes-35-trillion-budget-party-line-vote-after-caving-amendments-critical-race

 

              But there is only a partial accounting for what it will be spent for.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/political/investigating-missing-details-democrats-35-trillion-anti-poverty-climate-plan

 

            The coronavirus

 

              Update on the impact of the virus on US/China trade.

              https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2021/08/coronavirus-pandemic-taking-lasting.html#.YRKc6IhKiUk

 

            China

 

              China growth in question.

              https://econbrowser.com/archives/2021/08/china-growth-in-question

 

    Bottom line.

           

            Analysts lower year end interest rate target.

            https://www.ft.com/content/410aab44-2e56-40e8-bf7c-e3aa942fc88c

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

 

 

What I am reading today

 

            Forget budget deficits, an overly expansionary monetary policy, the coronavirus, climate change, Iran, China, this is the major problem that clouds our future.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/political/oregon-suspends-need-high-school-graduates-be-proficient-reading-writing-and-math

 

 

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