Thursday, June 3, 2021

The Morning Call---Where is that boom?

 

The Morning Call

 

6/3/21

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Wednesday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/reddit-rebels-rout-big-shorts-bonds-bitcoin-bullion-bid

 

            Speculators bet the farm on stocks.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/speculators-bet-farm-stocks

 

            Markets have never been so good.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/markets-have-never-had-it-so-good

 

            Oil breaks out of a trading range.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/cwk-91vont

 

            Gold needs a pause.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/the-market-ear/cuxgfizism

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

                          Weekly jobless claims totaled 385,000 versus predictions of 390,000.

 

Q1 final nonfarm productivity came in at 5.4% versus forecasts of 5.5%; unit labor costs rose 1.7% versus -0.4%.

 

The May ADP private payroll report showed job increases of 978,000 versus expectations of 650,000.

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/personal-finance/adp-employment-surges-may-led-services-rebound

 

                        International

                       

The May Japanese final services PMI was 46.5 versus 49.5 in April; the final composite PMI was 48.8 versus 51.0 in April.

 

The May Chinese Caixin final services PMI was 55.1 versus 56.3 in April; the final composite PMI was 53.8 versus 54.7 in April.

 

The May German final services PMI was 52.8, in line; the final composite PMI was 56.2, in line.

 

The May EU final services PMI was 55.2 versus estimates of 55.1; the final composite PMI was 57.1 versus 56.9.

 

The May UK final services PMI was 62.9 versus consensus of 61.8; the final composite PMI was 62.9 versus 62.0.

 

                        Other

                       

                          April median household income.

                          https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2021/06/median-household-income-in-april-2021.html#.YLfPvahKiUk

 

                          Where is that boom?

                          https://alhambrapartners.com/2021/05/31/weekly-market-pulse-wheres-that-confounded-boom/

 

                          May regional Fed bank manufacturing indices overview.

                          https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2021/06/02/may-regional-fed-manufacturing-overview

 

            The coronavirus

 

              Tucker Carlson outs Fauci.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/was-lie-tucker-carlson-levels-fauci-after-foia-emails-connect-dots

 

 

            The Fed

 

The Fed released its last Beige Book which unsurprisingly noted improvement in economic activity and mounting shortages in both goods and labor.

https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2021/06/feds-beige-book-national-economy.html

 

            Biden’s Plan

 

              Biden’s budget will lead to slower economic growth.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/bidens-budget-plan-may-lead-us-weaker-growth-and-less-jobs

 

            Inflation

 

              Are investors lowering their inflation expectations?

   https://www.wsj.com/articles/investors-inflation-bet-loses-some-steam-11622626202?mod=hp_lead_pos5

 

  Inflation will be a shock.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/larry-fink-warns-inflation-will-be-pretty-big-shock

 

    Bottom line.

           

            More on the risks to profit margins.

            https://www.marketwatch.com/story/why-stocks-could-tumble-even-as-the-post-pandemic-u-s-economy-grows-11622569396?mod=home-page

 

                        Lots of liquidity.

            http://blog.yardeni.com/2021/06/lots-of-liquidity.html

 

            Update on valuation.

            https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2021/06/02/p-e10-is-the-stock-market-cheap

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

 

 

What I am reading today

 

            A thought on the mood of the American electorate.

            https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2021/06/02/theres_a_revolutionary_spirit_enlivened_in_america_779696.html

 

            An interesting quiz on crime in the US.

            https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/06/02/upshot/crime-murder-trends-quiz.html

 

            The benefits of meditation.

            http://traderfeed.blogspot.com/2021/06/how-we-sabotage-our-trading.html

 

Visit Investing for Survival’s website (http://investingforsurvival.com/home) to learn more about our Investment Strategy, Prices Disciplines and Subscriber Service.

 

 

 

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