Thursday, June 10, 2021

The Morning Call--The 'transitory' inflation debate about to intensify

 

The Morning Call

 

6/10/21

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Wednesday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bonds-big-tech-bitcoin-bounce-back-complacency-reaches-20-year-high

 

            Coming volatility.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/its-coming

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

                       

                          Weekly jobless claims totaled 376,000 versus estimates of 370,000.

 

May CPI came in at +0.6% versus expectations of +0.4%; core CPI was +0.7% versus +0.4%.  The ‘transitory’ inflation debate will likely pick up steam.  Who is right Powell or Friedman?

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/core-consumer-prices-surge-fastest-rate-1992

 

                        International

 

                          May Japanese PPI was +0.7% versus consensus of +0.5%.

 

                        Other

 

                          Update on Q2 nowcasts.

                          http://www.capitalspectator.com/us-q2-growth-estimates-decline-but-still-set-to-beat-q1s-increase/

 

                          History repeating itself.

                          https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2021/06/09/the-return-of-the-finance-threat

 

            The Fed

 

              The ECB leaves rates unchanged and ups QE pledge.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ecb-keeps-policy-unchanged-renews-pledge-faster-bond-buying

 

            Biden’s Plan

 

               Biden ends infrastructure negotiations with GOP group.

              https://www.wsj.com/articles/president-biden-ends-infrastructure-talks-with-senate-gop-group-11623185881?mod=hp_lead_pos4

 

 

            Inflation

 

              Tracking shrinkflation.

              https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2021/06/shrinkflation-and-new-tool-to-track.html#.YMDyMflKiUk

 

              More on China’s reaction to that higher PPI number.

              https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/08/business/economy/china-inflation.html

 

              Could ESG trigger higher inflation?

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/why-one-bank-thinks-esg-could-trigger-hyperinflation

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

 

 

What I am reading today

 

Dinosaur found in Australia was two stories high and the length of a basketball court.

            https://www.npr.org/2021/06/08/1003975808/australia-biggest-dinosaur-titanosaur-cooper-discovery-outback

 

            Frozen worms brought back to life after 24,000 years.

            https://nypost.com/2021/06/08/24000-year-old-zombie-worms-discovered-frozen-and-alive/

 

 

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