Monday, April 8, 2019

Monday Morning Chartology


The Morning Call

4/8/19

The Market
         
    Technical

            The only thing wrong with this chart is that gap up open last Monday.  Still it looks like a green light to its all-time high (2942).



            The long bond maintains its strength, with the only negative being the necessity to close the gap up open three Friday’s ago.



            The dollar continues on a roll, above both MA’s, in a short term uptrend and, at Friday’s close, pennies above its prior high, I would like to see a more decisive move; if it happens, it will establish a very short term uptrend. 



            On Thursday, GLD bounced off its 100 DMA and its double bottom (now a triple bottom).  That is good news.  Adding to that is the need for it to close the gap down open last Thursday.  The bad news is that it continues to develop a head and shoulders formation.




            On Friday, the VIX fell 5 ½ %, ending back below the double bottom, voiding the developing inverse head and shoulders pattern and remaining within a very short term downtrend.  A big plus for equity prices.



    Fundamental

       Headlines

            The latest on the US/China trade talks.
           

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios
 
           

Economics

   This Week’s Data

      US

     International

            March Japanese consumer confidence was reported at 40.5 versus estimates of 42.3.

            February German exports fell 1.3% versus consensus of -0.5%; imports were of 1.6% versus -0.7%.

    Other

What I am reading today

Mysterious drug resistant germ quietly sweeping globe.

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