Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Tuesday Morning Chartology

The Morning Call

5/28/13

The Market
           
    Technical

      Tuesday Morning Chartology

            There is nothing wrong with this chart.  All major uptrends are in tact.  After Wednesday shellacking, the ‘buy the dippers’ showed up on schedule and the S&P held fairly steady.  Until the ‘buy the dip’ mentality gets penalized badly, this phenomenon is going to continue.


            Double bottom?  It is tempting to assume that given its proximity to the lower boundary of GLD’s long term uptrend.  I would prefer it to break at least one of those very short term downtrends (black lines) before jumping back in.



           
            Is the VIX also building a bottom?  As with GLD, it is close enough to the lower boundary of its long term trading range to speculate that that is the case.  If I were a trader and if the VIX broke the upper boundary of its short term downtrend, it would be a tempting bet.





            Update on ‘the best stock market indicator ever’:


                Update on margin debt (short and today’s must read):

    Fundamental
    
     
      News on Stocks in Our Portfolios
 
Economics

   This Week’s Data

   Other

            German cap ex declining (short):

            Bernanke’s latest casualty (medium):

            The threat of deflation is still present (short):

            The Japanese problem (short):

Politics

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  International War Against Radical Islam











Steve Cook received his education in investments from Harvard, where he earned an MBA, New York University, where he did post graduate work in economics and financial analysis and the CFA Institute, where he earned the Chartered Financial Analysts designation in 1973. His 40 years of investment experience includes institutional portfolio management at Scudder, Stevens and Clark and Bear Stearns. Steve's goal at

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