Thursday, November 14, 2013

South Jersey Industries (SJI) 2013 Review

South Jersey Industries (SJI) is a holding company with subsidiaries in natural gas distribution in southern New Jersey and drilling and gathering of natural gas.  The company has grown profits and dividends at 8-10% pace over the last ten years earning an 11-15% return on equity.  It should continue to increase profitability as well as an enhanced rate of dividend growth as a result of:

(1) recent increase in its base rates,

(2) a rise in the number of profitable projects in its nonutility operations,

(3) growth in its customer base [in particular from the growth in the Atlantic City area] plus an increase in customers converting form other fuels to natural gas,

(4) a rationalization of its operations to focus on higher profit investments and lower costs.

Negatives:

(1)   declining revenue from its nonutility operations,

(2) difficulties in its wholesale energy division.

SJI is rated B++ by Value Line, has a debt to equity ratio of 42% and its stock yield 3.1%

Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend         Payout      # Increases  
                Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2003

SJI              3.1%           9%              52%             10
Ind Ave       3.5              4                 59                NA 

                 Debt/                        EPS Down       Net        Value Line
                 Equity         ROE      Since 2003      Margin       Rating

SJI             42%            15%            1                 15%            B++
Ind Ave      46               11              NA                7               NA

     Chart

            Note:  SJI stock made good progress off its October 2008 low, surpassing the downtrend off its September 2007 high (red line).  Long term the stock is in an uptrend (straight blue lines).  Intermediate term it is in a trading range.  The wiggly blue line is on balance volume.  The Dividend Growth Portfolio owns a 50% position in SJI.  The stock is on the Dividend Growth Buy List.  The lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $85.




11/13

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