The Morning Call
4/3/25
The
Market
Technical
Wednesday in the
charts.
Another MACD
crossover warning.
https://talkmarkets.com/content/stocks--equities/sp-500-chart-analysis?post=489741
Fundamental
Headlines
The
Economy
US
Weekly initial
jobless claims totaled 219,000 versus consensus of 225,000.
The February trade
balance was -$122.7 billion versus projections of -$123.5 billion.
February factory
orders were up 0.6% versus forecasts of +0.5%; ex transportation, they were up
0.4% versus +0.5%.
International
February EU PPI was up 0.2% versus predictions
of +0.1%.
The March Japanese
services PMI came in at 50.0 versus estimates of 49.5; the March composite PMI
was 48.9 versus 48.5; the March Chinese Caixin services PMI was 51.9 versus
51.6; the March composite PMI was 51.8 versus 51.7; the March German services
PMI was 50.9 versus 50.4; the March composite PMI was 51.3 versus 50.9; the
March EU services PMI was 51.0 versus 50.4; the March composite PMI was 50.9
versus 50.2; the March UK services PMI was 52.5 versus 52.2; the March composite
PMI was 51.5 versus 52.0.
Other
March YoY heavy truck sales down 12%.
https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/04/heavy-truck-sales-decreased-12-yoy-in.html
Wednesday in the economic charts.
https://dailyshotbrief.com/the-daily-shot-brief-april-1st-2025/
Overnight
News
Futures
crash, dollar craters.
https://www.zerohedge.com/market-recaps/reign-tariffs-begins-futures-crash-dollar-craters
Fiscal
Policy
No president can overcome a weak dollar.
Playing defense instead of offense.
The
system is broken.
https://mishtalk.com/economics/how-much-credit-expansion-does-it-take-to-grow-real-gdp/
Tariffs
Worse
than expected.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/goldman-panics-much-worse-expected
Trust: the ultimate price of Trump’s tariff
policy.
https://danieldrezner.substack.com/p/the-exorbitant-price-of-trumps-tariffs
Are farm subsidies government waste, fraud
and abuse?
https://www.cato.org/blog/trumps-trade-wars-harm-farmers-taxpayers
Bigger than Smoot Hawley.
https://econbrowser.com/archives/2025/04/doug-irwin-bigger-than-smoot-hawley
The
beginning of a new era?
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/will-today-go-down-history-beginning-new-era
Investing
March dividends by
the numbers.
https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2025/04/dividends-by-numbers-in-march-2025-and.html
The threat to the
high yield credit market.
In praise of doing
nothing.
https://www.safalniveshak.com/dont-do-something-sit-there/
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