Friday, January 15, 2021

The Morning Call--A clear sign of insanity

 

The Morning Call

 

1/15/21

 

The Market

         

    Technical

 

            Thursday in the charts.

            https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/crypto-small-caps-scream-higher-dollar-shrugs-ahead-bidens-budget-bonanza

 

    Fundamental

 

       Headlines

 

              The Economy

 

                        US

 

December retail sales fell 0.7% versus expectations of being flat; December PPI was +0.1%versus +0.2%.

                          https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/us-retail-sales-tumble-3rd-straight-month-slump-restaurant-online-spending

 

                        International

 

November UK industrial production fell 1.0% versus estimates of +0.5%; November GDP fell 2.6% versus -5.7%; November manufacturing production was +0.7%, in line; November construction output was -1.4% versus -8.1% and the November trade balance was -L5 billion versus the October reading of -L2.3 billion.

 

                        Other

 

                          The stimulus is stimulating.

                          https://thereformedbroker.com/2021/01/14/surprise-surprise-the-stimulus-is-actually-stimulating/

                      

                          Credit card data show new stimulus backed spending spree.

                         https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/real-time-card-spending-data-shows-next-stimulus-funded-buying-spree-has-arrived

 

                          Global economy enters double dip recession.

                          https://politicalcalculations.blogspot.com/2021/01/global-economy-enters-double-dip.html#.YACSuehKiM8

 

                          Update on seven high frequency economic indicators.

                          https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2021/01/seven-high-frequency-indicators-for_11.html

 

            The Fed

 

              Talk of tapering is just talk.

                  https://blogs.uoregon.edu/timduyfedwatch/2021/01/13/talk-of-tapering-is-just-talk/

 

              But there is a paradox in tapering talk.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/rates-rhetoric-tapering-paradox

 

            Fiscal Policy

 

              The failure of the college loan program.

              https://americanconsequences.com/the-failure-of-the-college-loan-program/

 

China

 

  What trade war?

  https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/what-trade-war-chinese-trade-surplus-hits-all-time-high-soaring-exports-pandemic-goods

 

            The coronavirus

 

              US coronavirus hospitalizations decline for first time in months.

              https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/us-covid-hospitalizations-post-first-drop-monthsbut-bofa-has-some-bad-news

 

              The benefits of taking zinc in fighting the virus.

              https://www.lewrockwell.com/2021/01/no_author/when-no-one-was-looking-dietary-supplements-cured-cancer-covid-19/

 

            Bottom line.  A clear signal of insanity (must read).

              https://compoundadvisors.com/2021/a-clear-signal-of-insanity

 

    News on Stocks in Our Portfolios

 

What I am reading today

 

             A word of caution on bitcoin.

             https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2021/01/13/bitcoin-magic-internet-money

 

            Another disbeliever.

            https://marker.medium.com/the-bitcoin-dream-is-dead-8b621d2d7dbd

 

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