Thursday, December 19, 2013

Sysco (SYY) 2013 Review

Sysco Corp markets and distributes fresh, frozen and specialty meats, seafood, poultry, fruits and vegetables, bakery products, canned and dry foods, dairy foods, beverages, kitchen and tabletop equipment, paper and disposable products, sanitation items and hotel operating supplies to more than 400,000 restaurants, healthcare and educational facilities, lodging establishments and other food service customers.  It achieved a 9-13% growth in profits and dividends over the last 10 years earning an almost 25%+ return on equity.  The current period of slow economic growth has impacted Sysco’s profitability as restaurant sales declined and bad debt expenses increased.  The company is working to return to an above average growth rate by:

(1) stringent cost controls,

(2) the conversion to new state of the art plants improves operations [margins],

(3) acquisitions,

(4) share buybacks. 

Negatives:

(1) industry pricing pressures,

(2) economic headwinds.

SYY is rated A+ by Value Line, carries a 34% debt to equity ratio and its stock yields 3.5%

     Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend         Payout      # Increases  
                 Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2003

SYY          3.5%            8%             54%             10
Ind Ave      2.1               5                35               NA 

                Debt/                       EPS Down       Net        Value Line
                Equity         ROE      Since 2003      Margin       Rating

SYY          34%           22%            4                 3%           A+
Ind Ave      38              15             NA               3              NA

     Chart

            Note: SYY stock made good progress off its March 2009 low, quickly surpassing the downtrend off its September 2008 high (red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term SYY is in an uptrend (blue lines).  Intermediate term, it is in an uptrend (purple lines).  The wiggly blue line is on balance volume.  The High Yield Portfolio owns a 50% position in SYY.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $27; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $42.




12/13

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