Tuesday, December 4, 2012

Sysco (SYY) 2012 Review

Sysco Corp markets and distributes fresh, frozen and specialty meats, seafood, poultry, fruits and vegetables, bakery products, canned and dry foods, dairy foods, beverages, kitchen and tabletop equipment, paper and disposable products, sanitation items and hotel operating supplies to more than 400,000 restaurants, healthcare and educational facilities, lodging establishments and other food service customers.  It achieved a 9-13% growth in profits and dividends over the last 10 years earning an almost 25%+ return on equity.  The current period of slow economic growth has impacted Sysco’s profitability as restaurant sales declined and bad debt expenses increased.  The company is working to return to an above average growth rate by:

(1) stringent cost controls,

(2) the conversion to new state of the art plants improves operations [margins],

(3) more efficient inventory management,

(4) an up tick in dining out and business expenditures. 

Negatives:

(1) industry pricing pressures,

(2) a loss of momentum in market share expansion.

SYY is rated A+ by Value Line, carries a 37% debt to equity ratio and its stock yields 3.4%

     Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend         Payout      # Increases  
                 Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2002

SYY          3.4%            5%             50%             10
Ind Ave      1.8               5                29               NA 

                Debt/                       EPS Down       Net        Value Line
                Equity         ROE      Since 2002      Margin       Rating

SYY          37%           24%            4                 3%           A+
Ind Ave      41              16             NA               3              NA

     Chart

            Note: SYY stock made decent progress off its March 2009 low, surpassing the downtrend off its September 2008 high (straight red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term, the stock is in a trading range (blue line is lower boundary).  Intermediate term, it is in an uptrend (purple lines).  The wiggly red line is the 50 day moving average.  The Aggressive Growth and High Yield Portfolios own 50% positions in SYY.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $20; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $31.



12/12

No comments:

Post a Comment