Monday, September 22, 2014

Monday Morning Chartology

The Morning Call

9/22/14

The Market
           
    Technical

       Monday Morning Chartology

            No sign of trouble here.  The S&P stays well within uptrends across all timeframes.



            The long Treasury broke down from its short term uptrend; then bounced strongly enough to mark a new lower boundary of a re-set short term trading range.  It is also in an intermediate term trading range and is below its 50 day moving average.



            GLD’s chart is as ugly as the S&P is beautiful.  Here is an interesting theory on why gold is acting as poorly as it is (short):



            The VIX remains of no help in assessing the Market.



            Stock Trader’s Almanac looks at the current week (short):

    Fundamental
 
            ***overnight, (1) Japan announced that it intended to go ahead with the second step of raising its consumption tax [which re-begs the question, what are these guys thinking about?], the Bank of China stated there would be no more monetary easing [remember, they lie a lot], (3) the ECB said it may not do anymore easing, given that its first try was a bust, and (4) the global leading economic indicator just did a triple back flip with a two and one half twists in the pike position.


            Update on valuation:


      Investing for Survival

            Enduring lessons from the financial crisis (medium):
     
      News on Stocks in Our Portfolios
 
Economics

   This Week’s Data

            The August Chicago National Activity Index came in at -.21 versus expectations of +.35.

   Other

            Update on household net worth (short):

Politics

  Domestic

More government incompetence (medium):

  International War Against Radical Islam







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