Tuesday, July 8, 2014

Blackrock (BLK) 2014 Review

Blackrock Inc. provides investment management services (fixed income, equity and cash management) to institutional clients and individual investors worldwide as well as a family of open-end and closed-end mutual funds and offers risk management, investment system outsourcing and financial advisory services.  The company has grown its earnings per share between 19-23% over the last five years and raised its dividend per share from $.40 in 2003 to $7.72 in 2013.  In addition, BLK earned an 8-10% return on equity.  Growth should continue as the company:

(1) introduces new financial services, especially ETF’s,

(2) expands globally,

(3) buys back stock,

(4) makes acquisitions.

Negatives:

(1) a large portion of its fees are performance based,

(2) increasing operating expenses,

(3) global presence increases currency and regulatory risks.

Blackrock is rated A by Value Line, has only 16% debt and its stock currently yields 2.6%.

Statistical Summary

                 Stock     Dividend         Payout      # Increases  
                Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2004

BLK          2.6%          9%             44%               10
Ind Ave      2.1             9                29               NA 

                Debt/                      EPS Down       Net        Value Line
               Equity         ROE      Since 2004      Margin       Rating

BLK          16%          12%            1                 28%            A
Ind Ave      33             19             NA               18              NA

     Chart

            Note: BLK stock made good progress off its March 2009 low, quickly surpassing the downtrend off it September 2008 high (straight red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term it is in an uptrend (blue lines).  Intermediate term it is in a trading range (purple line).  The wiggly red line is the 50 day moving average.  The Aggressive Growth Portfolio owns a 75% position in BLK.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $278.  The lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $450.
    



7/14

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