Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Genuine Parts (GPC) 2012 Review

Genuine Parts distributes automotive replacement parts, industrial replacement parts, business products and electrical and electronic components in North America.  The company has grown profits and dividends at a 4% annual rate over the last 10 years, earning a 15%+ return on equity.  The 2008/2009 economic softness was a problem for GPC as it was for most auto related companies; however, the company has resumed both its dividend and earnings growth rate as a result of:

(1) product line expansion,

(2) penetration of new markets,

(3) aggressive cost cutting,

(4) acquisitions.

Negatives:

(1) consumer uncertainty dampens demand,

(2) GPC lack pricing power in current environment

Genuine Parts is rated A+ by Value Line, has 15% debt to equity ratio and its stock yields 3.2%.

Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend         Payout      # Increases  
                  Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2002

GPC          3.2%           9%               48%             10
Ind Ave     1.7               9*                20                NA 

                Debt/                      EPS Down       Net        Value Line
               Equity         ROE      Since 2002      Margin       Rating

GPC          15%           21%             3                 5%          A+
Ind Ave     34              17              NA                5            NA

*over 50% of the companies in GPC industry do not pay a dividend

    Chart

            Note: GPC stock made great progress off its March 2009 low, quickly surpassing the downtrend off its September 2007 high (red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term, GPC is in an uptrend (straight blue lines).  Intermediate term, it is in an uptrend (purple lines).  The wiggly blue line is on balance volume.  The Dividend Growth and High Yield Portfolios own full positions in GPC.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $48; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $84.



11/12

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