Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Reliance Steel (RS) 2013 Review



Reliance Steel provides value-added metals processing services and distributes more than 100,000 metal products.  The company has grown profits and dividends at a 17-18% rate and earned a 7-19% return on equity over the last ten years.  RS operations remain under significant pressure from declining volume and increasing price competition.  However, profits begun growing again as a result of:

(1) despite slow economic growth, it is witnessing improvement in its core customer base (aerospace and energy) resulting in both rising demand and prices,

(2) acquisitions (latest: Metals USA),

(3) an excellent cost control discipline.

Negatives:

(1) the lackluster nonresidential construction market is impacting sales of carbon steel,

(2) rising raw material costs,

(3) industry overcapacity.

RS is rated B++ by Value Line, has a debt/equity ratio of approximately 23% and its stock yields 1.8%

Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend         Payout      # Increases  
                Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2003

RS             1.8%           17               19%              8
Ind Ave      2.5               8                35               NA 

                   Debt/                       EPS Down       Net        Value Line
                  Equity        ROE      Since 2003      Margin       Rating

RS              23%             12%            2                 4%           B++
Ind Ave       36                 8              NA               4             NA

     Chart

            Note: RS stock made good progress off its December 2008 low, quickly surpassing the downtrend off its June 2008 high (red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term, the stock is in an uptrend (straight blue lines).  Intermediate term it is in an uptrend (purple lines).  The wiggly blue line is on balance volume.  The Aggressive Growth Portfolio owns a full position in RS.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $28; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $83.



9/13

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