Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Tuesday Morning Chartology

The Morning Call

9/2/14

The Market
           
    Technical

      Tuesday Morning Chartology

            In my absence, the S&P re-set its short term trend from a trading range to an uptrend.  That puts it back into uptrends across all timeframes.  However, it is still out of sync with the Dow which remains in short and intermediate term trading ranges.  The next challenge is now the upper boundary of its long term uptrend.



            The long Treasury remains within its short term uptrend, intermediate term trading range and above its 50 day moving average.  This performance suggests the bond guys are betting on a geopolitical disturbance or a slowing economy (recession).  We are sticking with our long bond position in our ETF Portfolio.  Further, whether you own bonds or not, this would be a great time to refinance your mortgage.



            GLD remains within a short term trading range, a developing pennant formation, an intermediate term downtrend and below its 50 day moving average.  This continues to be a sick chart whose only hope is to bust out of that pennant formation to the upside.



            The VIX is back to telling us nothing.  True, it is in short and intermediate term downtrends and below its 50 day moving average; but it has been there forever, more as part of an extended trading range than a hint on direction.




    Fundamental
        
      News on Stocks in Our Portfolios
 
Economics

   This Week’s Data

   Other

            The ECB’s destructive monetary policy (medium):

Politics

  Domestic

  International

            Latest from Ukraine---ex-NSA chief memo to Merkel (medium):






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