Home Depot operates a chain of retail building supply/home improvement stores in the
US, Canada, Mexico and China. The company has grown profits and dividends
at a 7-20% pace over the past 10 years earning 14%+ return on equity. HD experienced difficulties in the 2007-2008
economic downturn; however, the company took steps that have led to improvement
in its profitability. This trend should continue as a result of:
(1) altered its in-store focus designed to maximize profitability and to make them simpler, more customer friendly,
(2) the company’s size and dominant market position in a highly fragmented industry allows it to achieve economies of scale in purchasing products and to develop exclusive brands with selective suppliers giving it a competitive advantage,
(3) expanding its e Commerce capabilities,
(4) share buybacks.
(1) it is in a highly competitive industry,
(2) a high unemployment rate will keep a damper on consumer discretionary spending,
(3) its international exposure increases the risk of losses from currency fluctuations.
Home Depot is rated A++ by Value Line, carries a 43% debt to equity ratio and its stock yields 2.1%.
Stock Dividend Payout # Increases
Yield Growth Rate Ratio Since 2004
HD 2.3% 16% 43% 8
Ind Ave 1.5 14 37 NA
Debt/ EPS Down Net Value Line
Equity ROE Since 2004 Margin Rating
HD 55% 57% 3 8% A++
Ind Ave 27 31 NA 8 NA
Note: HD stock made great progress off its March 2009 low, quickly surpassing the downtrend off its July 2007 high (straight red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line). Long term, the stock is in an uptrend (blue lines). Intermediate term it is in an uptrend (purple lines). Short term it is an uptrend (brown lines). The wiggly red line is the 50 day moving average. The Dividend Growth and High Yield Portfolios own 80-85% positions in HD. The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $47; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $128.