Thursday, April 17, 2014

United Technologies (UTX) 2014 Review

United Technologies is an industrial conglomerate which manufacturers and services aircraft engines (Pratt & Whitney), manufacturers heating, ventilating and air conditioning equipment (Carrier), manufacturers and services elevators (Otis), builds helicopters (Sikorsky), manufacturers aerospace and industrial products (Hamilton Sundstrand) and provides security and fire protection services (UTC Fire and Security).  The company has earned an 18-20% return on equity over the last ten years while growing profits and dividends at a 10-15% rate.  While UTX’s businesses are impacted by the global economic activity, the company has grown fairly consistently returned because:

(1)  its main businesses possess a large parts and service component which adds stability to earnings,

(2) the diversity of its product line allows for consistency in revenue and earnings performance,

(3) its strong cash flow allows for further acquisitions and product innovation.

 Negatives:

(1) a significant portion of its business is subject to government funding,

(2) its international operations are subject changes in foreign economies growth rates as well as currency fluctuations and government regulations,

UTX is rated A++ by Value Line, its balance sheet carries a debt/equity ratio of 40%, its stock yields 2.1%.

    Statistical Summary

                 Stock      Dividend       Payout      # Increases  
                Yield      Growth Rate     Ratio       Since 2004
UTX           2.1%         9%              36%              10
Ind Ave*

                Debt/                        EPS Down       Net        Value Line
                Equity         ROE      Since 2004      Margin       Rating

UTX          40%           20%           2                 10%           A++
Ind Ave*

*Because the market segments in which these companies operate are so diverse, comparable data would be meaningless.

     Chart

            Note: UTX stock made great progress off its March 2009 low, surpassing the downtrend off its October 2007 high (straight red line) and the November 2008 trading high (green line).  Long term it is in an uptrend (blue lines).  Intermediate term it is in an uptrend (purple lines).  Short term it is in an uptrend (brown line).  The wiggly red line is the 50 day moving average.  The Dividend Growth Portfolio owns a 75% position in UTX.  The upper boundary of its Buy Value Range is $76; the lower boundary of its Sell Half Range is $143.


 


4/14

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