Thursday, September 5, 2013

Morning Journal--Will third quarter economic activity be weaker than expected?

Economics

   This Week’s Data

            August US light vehicle sales rose 2.6%---a good showing.

            The International Council of Shopping Centers  reported weekly sales of major retailers down 0.6% versus the prior week but up 1.8% versus the comparable period a year ago: Redbook Research reported month to date retail chain store sales up 0.6% versus the similar timeframe last month and up 4.7% on a year over year basis.

            The July US trade deficit of $39.1 billion was slightly above estimates of  $39.0 billion.

            The latest Fed Beige Book report sounded much like its immediate predecessor---the economy growing at a modest to moderate pace.

            The August ADP private payroll report indicated a rise on 176,000 jobs versus expectations of an increase of 177,000.

            Weekly jobless claims fell 9,000 versus forecasts of a drop of 1,000.

            Second quarter nonfarm productivity climbed 2.3% versus estimates of up 1.8%; unit labor costs were flat versus an anticipated up 0.7%.

   Other

Macro markets risk index (short):

            The argument for QE4.  The problem I have with this article is that author acknowledges that the QE’s have done little to improve the economy, yet argues that because the economy may weaken, it is necessary.  (medium):

            Problems are starting to occur again in Europe (medium):

            Will third quarter economic activity be weaker than expected (medium):


No comments:

Post a Comment